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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 16:07:28 GMT
Post by Raven on May 19, 2015 16:07:28 GMT
So if we want to make a play tomorrow, who do we think the SK is? For me it's down to Ignatz and Jawa, likely Jawa. In an ideal world, Jawa uses someone to kill RP, we kill K-ness, Capt kills the SK and RP's hit is MDed into Capt. That's a lot of ifs, but back to the question, who do we think the SK is?
MSU is not and Capt is likely not. I think Iceman is who he says just because of the theme and Mags' tendency to be extra strict about his themes.
K is very staunchly town though his and RP is the Vig. That leaves Grinner (maybe) but he just likely has a weird death mechanic. Afrcngy, Jawa, and Ignatz. We thought Afrcngy was the doc and between Ignatz and Jawa, Ignatz has acted less shady. This doesn't mean much since Mags has provided a fakeclaim for the SK before, but it's worth noting. So I think it's Jawa but I could be wrong. Any other thought trains out there? |
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 17:48:37 GMT
Post by adammaharis on May 19, 2015 17:48:37 GMT
That hypothetical would be the best night ever. Don't think that's happening though.
I think your process of elimination is pretty good. You can probably get Jawa lynched without even claiming cop if you just start the phase by voting him confidently.
I approve the actions in your last post.
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 19:02:26 GMT
Post by Raven on May 19, 2015 19:02:26 GMT
Yeah, I can dream though. An ideal night has K-ness dead and either RP or the SK dead as well as Capt using up his OS kill. We can't comfortably initiate an endgame voting rush with too many killers left out there.
At any rate, those actions are good and based on what happens, a pressure train on Jawa should be in order if he's not already dead. I really wouldn't put it past Capt to hit him.
Sorry if I'm over analyzing and being a bit harsh, I tend to turn into a bit of an ego maniac when I'm scum, doubly so when I'm the don. If I have overstepped on some things I do apologize.
I will post actions in 2-3 hours since my evening is a bit occupied so if there are any objections/suggestions, let's get them discussed and hashed out now. |
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 19:34:15 GMT
Post by adammaharis on May 19, 2015 19:34:15 GMT
Being harsh? Hadn't noticed. Don't think you've been overstepping either.
Edit: Oh, and overanalyzing is rarely a bad thing. Don't apologize for it.
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 20:20:34 GMT
Post by troybinotrol on May 19, 2015 20:20:34 GMT
Sorry I haven't been as vocal today. Bunch of work popped up and I'm getting rather swamped. I pretty much trust you guys to do the best thing. My main doubt is Linkor's self doc. But everything is with risk now so. There's no compelling argument against it.
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 20:31:39 GMT
Post by Raven on May 19, 2015 20:31:39 GMT
Sorry I haven't been as vocal today. Bunch of work popped up and I'm getting rather swamped. I pretty much trust you guys to do the best thing. My main doubt is Linkor's self doc. But everything is with risk now so. There's no compelling argument against it. I tend to agree but Capt was telegraphing that he would use a kill on Linkor. But Capt may be doing other things besides killing if he's smart. It's endgame and a bad night can sink either side. So we MD the player who has the kill power for sure. but since Linkor has come across as the more suspicious we doctor him.
That leaves me and you who are obviously more vulnerable to the SK, but our need is more speculative than theirs. I hate it and I wish we had our BD and RB to be able to lock more folks down and mess with them. But we don't so we play the odds and hope that MSU/RP/Capt draw more attention from the SK.
As you said, everything is a risk now. We've been fortunate to not have any of our number SKed or Vigged up until this point.
Also, odds that Ignatz or Afrcngy is the doubler are pretty high.
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 21:36:06 GMT
Post by adammaharis on May 19, 2015 21:36:06 GMT
As we've discussed, there's no "safe play". We're very vulnerable no matter what decisions we make. My thought process basically revolves around the possibility of Capt using a JK on me or Linkor. If we're relying on Linkor's doctoring to save someone else, then Capt's JK will ruin that plan. But if Linkor is JK, he's also protected from a kill, so doctoring himself works whether or not he is JK.
I'm getting a little overly convoluted. I think the actions we've outlined above are our "safest" play, but if someone has a good gut feeling about something else, I'm open to it. I've debated MDing CaptThulkman on the chance that RP targets someone other than us, but I don't want RP hitting his target, no matter who he chooses.
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D6/N6
May 19, 2015 23:08:44 GMT
Post by troybinotrol on May 19, 2015 23:08:44 GMT
no misdirecting RP is the right play, I'm just wondering if Thulk is trying a feint. He said he couldn't kill MSU, but he would be willing to make a kill power (and possibly get misdirected into MSU).
Hell, if I was the SK I would mind control THulk and kill MSU. Kill two birds with one stone possibly.
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